基于Rényi信息增量的机动目标协同跟踪算法

针对基于多传感器组网进行机动目标跟踪的传感器管理问题,提出了一种基于Rényi信息增量的机动目标协同跟踪算法。首先结合"当前"统计模型和交互式多模型不敏卡尔曼滤波算法设计了一种变结构多模型算法,来进行机动目标的状态估计;然后以Rényi信息增量为评价准则,选择使Rényi信息增量最大的单个传感器进行目标跟踪;最后利用得到的最优加速度估计进行网格划分,更新变结构多模型中的模型集合。在一般机动及强机动场景下进行了算法性能分析,仿真结果表明,该算法能够合理地选择传感器,提高了对机动目标的跟踪精度。     

陆军战术部队用天体系能力研究

以未来信息化战场联合作战为背景,强调天基资源在陆军战术部队作战体系中的重要地位,深入分析美国陆军天基资源运用现状和能力形成途径,从陆军装备转型建设实际需求出发,研究陆军用天(基)体系架构,阐述体系能力特征。     

新冠肺炎动态病死率分析与疫情预测方法研究【专题】

新型冠状病毒感染的肺炎防控是国家安全体系的重要“战场”，疫情趋势预测是开展疫情科学防控和精准防控的重要基础。本文阐述了疫情动态病死率概念，分析了疫情动态病死率函数和时间曲线，提出了动态病死率发展的3个重要拐点，从动态病死率和新增确诊病人数两个维度，构建了拟合曲线函数，并对疫情发展趋势进行了预测。研究发现，截至2月10日，本次疫情动态病死率已经经过了第3个拐点，趋于稳定；预计到2月16日左右，新增确诊人数达到第3个拐点，进入缓慢下降期；预计2月底底至3月初，每日新增确诊人数将在1000人以内，全国最终的“病死率”将在2%～4%左右。该预测方法是一种运用系统外部特征信息来研判疫情发展规律的较为简便快捷的方法，对于科学预测疫情发展趋势具有一定的参考借鉴价值。     

Direct ink writing of 3D-Honeycombed CL-20 structures with low critical size

3D-Honeycombed CL-20 structures with low critical size of detonation have been fabricated successfully for intelligent weapon systems using a micro-flow direct ink writing (DIW) technology. The CL-20-based explosive ink for DIW technology was prepared by a two-component adhesive system with waterborne polyurethane (WPU) and ethyl cellulose (EC). Not only the preparation of the explosive ink but also the principle of DIW process have been investigated systematically. The explosive ink displayed strong shear-thinning behavior that permitted layer-by-layer deposition from a fine nozzle onto a substrate to produce complex shapes. The EC content was varied to alter the pore structure distribution and rheological behavior of ink samples after curing. The deposited explosive composite materials are of a honeycombed structure with high porosity, and the pore size distribution increases with the increase of EC content. No phase change was observed during the preparation process. Both WPU and EC show good compatibility with CL-20 particles. Apparently high activation energy was realized in the CL-20-based composite ink compared with that of the refined CL-20 due to the presence of non-energetic but stable WPU. The detonation performance of the composite materials can be precisely controlled by an adjustment in the content of binders. The 3D honeycombed CL-20 structures, which are fabricated by DIW technology, have a very small critical detonation size of less than 69 μm, as demonstrated by wedge shaped charge test. The ink can be used to create 3D structures with complex geometries not possible with traditional manufacturing techniques, which presents a bright future for the development of intelligent weapon systems.     

新型多相结构MWC宽带数字接收机设计

提出一种基于多相调制宽带转换器结构的新型压缩采样数字接收机,可对宽带中频信号进行截获。新型接收机结构包括:串并转换、并行相乘、多相滤波三个模块。在用相同乘法器资源的条件下,新型接收机结构的整体数据速率远低于现有的调制宽带转换器结构,并且通过仿真验证了其正确性。该新型结构为调制宽带转换器离散压缩采样数字接收机在现场可编程门阵列上的物理实现奠定了基础,使整个接收机结构更具有实际工程应用价值。     

基于改进Markov模型软件测试策略

针对已有软件测试Markov模型与工程实践不符的情况，通过引入软件需求覆盖率改进Markov模型。在改进的Markov模型基础上，本文以软件测试过程中测试总代价最小为控制目标，采用交叉熵方法修正测试剖面，由优化测试剖面生成测试用例序列。仿真结果表明这种方法能够有效地降低软件测试总代价，是一种有效的软件测试方法。     

编辑学者化浅论

针对近年来编辑出版界对“编辑学者化”的讨论 ,对“学者化”“化”到什么程度 ,学者化编辑应有什么样的知识结构、能力结构及实现“学者化”要求的主要途径进行了探讨。     

通用装备机液系统综合检测试验平台综合信息管理系统设计与实现

探讨了通用装备机液系统综合检测试验平台综合信息管理系统在网络和功能结构、信息处理流程、数据分类和数据结构、数据传输接口等方面的设计方法,该设计方法在通用装备机液系统综合检测试验平台综合信息管理系统项目中进行了应用,取得了良好效果,为类似的综合管理信息系统的设计探索了一条有效的路径。     

水面舰艇结构抗水下爆炸毁伤能力表征方法研究

基于舰体抗毁伤能力主要表征参数、舰体抗毁伤完好性等级以及标准毁伤设计载荷的研究,提出了三个表征舰体结构抗水下爆炸毁伤能力的参数,给出了表征参数阈值及其与破损船体的毁伤等级之间的关系,形成了舰体结构抗水下爆炸毁伤能力的表征方法,从而为水面舰艇结构抗毁伤能力的评估和工程设计提供参考。     

Military Expenditure as a Proxy for State Power. The Case of France

This paper attempts to build a simple indicator of state power. Military expenditure is the paper’s point of departure, with the definitions given by NATO, SIPRI and others. This definition is discussed and a power version is build, using French budgetary data. Then a defence of the result against traditional or non-traditional critics is presented under an imperative of action. Finally, this concept is enlarged and a new concept of power expenditures is given, one more time using French budgetary data. The conclusion is that this large expenditure concept is an unbiased but imperfect indicator of the will to act, and has to be completed by GDP to indicate the capability to act in the long-run.